Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts by model that called Samuel's off year (2024)

The 2024 NFL season will begin with Chiefs vs. Ravens on Thursday, Sept. 5 and Fantasy football managers might find themselves debating Lamar Jackson vs. Patrick Mahomes early in their upcoming 2024 Fantasy football drafts. Mahomes has been the most prolific passer of the last five years but Jackson has been by far the most prolific running quarterback during that span. So, depending on your league settings, which is likely to be more valuable during the upcoming season?

Having a reliable set of live-updated 2024 Fantasy football rankings can help ensure you're getting maximum value out of every pick as you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep. They can also help you stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news to identify potential 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers wide receiver Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse running back and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts.Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Chiefs wide receiver Marquise Brown. The 27-year-old had a disappointing 2023 season with Arizona, catching 51 passes for 574 yards and four touchdowns. Brown dealt with inconsistent quarterback play, but that will not be the case this year after he agreed to a one-year deal with the Chiefs.

He is penciled into a starting wide receiver spot alongside the NFL's best quarterback and one of the league's best coaches. Brown has flashed his potential and big-play ability, going over 1,000 receiving yards while catching six touchdowns with the Ravens in 2021. He is primed for a career resurgence in Kansas City, as Patrick Mahomes is desperate for another elite weapon.See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts

The model is also projecting Bears quarterback Caleb Williams as one of its 2024 Fantasy football breakouts. Only three rookies have finished as top-10 Fantasy quarterbacks since 2013, but Williams has a chance to join that group this season. Chicago has suddenly turned into a perfect situation for a new quarterback, with wide receivers DJ Moore, Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze on the roster.

The Bears also have tight end Cole Kmet and running back D'Andre Swift, so Williams is not lacking weapons heading into his first NFL campaign. The No. 1 overall pick has a strong arm and additional upside as a mobile quarterback who can rack up rushing touchdowns. His situation with the Bears is as ideal as you will find for a rookie quarterback, making him one of the top Fantasy football breakouts this season.See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. The veteran running back is coming off his first Pro Bowl appearance at age 31 last season, rushing for 1,012 yards and 18 touchdowns while adding 25 catches for 175 yards and three more scores to finish as a top-five running back in PPR leagues. However, Mostert's touchdown dependency creates the possibility for regression even before you consider the threat posed by second-year running back De'Von Achane.

As a rookie, Achane produced 997 scrimmage yards and 11 touchdowns in just 11 games and late in the season the two backs were splitting touches almost right down the middle. As the younger, cheaper and more explosive back, Achane is a clear threat to further usurp Mostert's touches in 2024 and that's a big reason why the model barely ranks Mostert among its top 20 running backs for the upcoming season.See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers.You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.

Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: NFL sleepers, breakouts, busts by model that called Samuel's off year (2024)


Who has been the most accurate fantasy football projections? ›

Who is the most accurate draft expert? Jared Smola is the most accurate draft expert according to Fantasy Pros. Smola, a draft expert for Draft Sharks, won the Multi-Year Projection Accuracy Award. That award is given out to the most accurate expert for a 3-year rolling period.

Who is the best fantasy running back this year? ›

Christian McCaffrey is expected to be the top pick at running back — and the No. 1 overall pick, in general — for fantasy purposes. No surprise there, especially if he (hopefully) stays healthy throughout training camp.

Who gives the best free fantasy football advice? ›

General Fantasy Football News & Analysis Sites
  • 4For4. A high quality site with a ton of good info, both free and subscription, 4for4 is known for their highly accurate in-season & redraft rankings. ...
  • The Athletic. ...
  • Fantasy Pros. ...
  • Footballguys. ...
  • Pro Football Focus. ...
  • The Fantasy Footballers. ...
  • Matt Waldman'S RSP. ...
  • Fantasy Points.

Who is the number one fantasy player? ›

Scoring Leaders
1Brandon Allen QB - SFNYJ
2Josh Allen QB - BUFARI
3Kyle Allen QB - PIT@ATL
23 more rows

Who is the best RB for fantasy football 2024? ›

Christian McCaffrey

Who is the RB1 in fantasy right now? ›

Player Rankings
RankPlayerNFL Fantasy Experts
1Christian McCaffrey RB - SF1
2Breece Hall RB - NYJ2
3Bijan Robinson RB - ATL3
4Saquon Barkley RB - PHI4
76 more rows

Who is the best fantasy QB this year? ›

Fantasy QB Rankings 2024:
  • Josh Allen, Bills.
  • Jalen Hurts, Eagles.
  • Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs.
  • Lamar Jackson, Ravens.
  • Anthony Richardson, Colts.
  • C.J. Stroud, Texans.
  • Kyler Murray, Cardinals.
  • Dak Prescott, Cowboys.
Jun 17, 2024

Is Yahoo or ESPN fantasy projections more accurate? ›

The Verdict - Yahoo Fantasy Football

If you are starting new, we suggest going with Yahoo due to the more robust historical data that can be quite fun to review, the unique weekly recap notes, and their ability to integrate paid DFS leagues into the app.

How accurate are NFL fantasy football projections? ›

Our projections are only as accurate as (the aggregate of) the underlying sources of projections. Nevertheless, the “wisdom of the crowd” is the most accurate of all fantasy football projections, and accounts for about one-half to two-thirds of the variance in players' performance (see here).

Who is the consensus #1 fantasy football? ›

Consensus of 76 Experts (102 available) - Jul 2, 2024
RKPlayer NamePOS
Tier 1
1C. McCaffrey (SF)RB1
2C. Lamb (DAL)WR1
3T. Hill (MIA)WR2
33 more rows

What is the best fantasy football data site? ›

The Huddle provides the most complete resource of fantasy football statistics available anywhere.


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