Mets vs. Nationals odds, line, score prediction, start time: 2024 MLB picks, July 4 bets from proven model (2024)

The Washington Nationals will look to earn a split in their four-game series with the New York Mets when they meet in a National League East Division matchup on Thursday morning. After dropping the first two games of the series in 10 innings, Washington rallied from a four-run deficit on Wednesday to post a 7-5 victory. The Mets (42-42), who are 6-4 in their last 10 games, are 17-22 in day games this season. The Nationals (40-46), who are 3-7 in their past 10, are 21-23 during the day in 2024.

First pitch is set for 11:05 a.m. ET. The Mets are hitting .249 as a team, 10th-best in MLB, while the Nationals are batting .235, 20th-best. New York is a -117 favorite (risk $117 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Mets vs. Nationals odds from SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 9. Before making any Nationals vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It entered Week 15 of the 2024 MLB season a profitable 44-34 on all-top rated MLB picks this season. Dating back to last season, it is on a 22-8 roll on top-rated run-line picks (+935). Anybody following has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Nationals and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are severalMLB oddsand betting lines for Nationals vs. Mets:

  • Mets vs. Nationals money line: New York -117, Washington -102
  • Mets vs. Nationals over/under: 9 runs
  • Mets vs. Nationals run line: New York -1.5 (+139)
  • NYM: The Mets have hit the game total over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+12.05 units)
  • WAS: The Nationals have covered the run line in 40 of their last 71 games (+6.55 units)
  • Mets vs. Nationals picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Mets

Shortstop Francisco Lindor has been heating up of late with hits in eight of the past nine games. In Tuesday's 7-2 win over Washington, he was 2-for-5 with a double, homer, one RBI and two runs scored. He was 1-for-4 with a homer and two RBI in Wednesday's 7-5 loss to the Nationals. In 84 games this season, he is batting .249 with 25 doubles, 15 homers, 43 RBI and 57 runs scored.

First baseman Pete Alonso had a six-game hitting streak snapped on Wednesday. In 84 games this season, he is hitting .244 with 20 doubles, 18 homers, 48 RBI and 48 runs scored. He was 2-for-5 with a homer and two RBI in Tuesday's win. He was 2-for-4 with two RBI in a 9-6 loss to Houston on Saturday.See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Nationals

Right-hander Jake Irvin (6-6, 3.03 ERA) will start for Washington. Irvin is coming off a solid outing, earning the win in an 8-1 victory at Tampa Bay on Saturday. In that game, he pitched six innings, allowing one earned run on one hit and three walks, while striking out five. He received a no-decision in a 2-1 Nationals win at Colorado on June 23. In that game, he pitched six innings, allowing three hits, one earned run and one walk, while striking out 10.

Shortstop C.J. Abrams has four multi-hit games over the past eight, including back-to-back three-hit performances at San Diego June 24 and 25. He was 2-for-5 with an RBI in Tuesday's loss to New York. He also had two hits with a double and home run in an 8-1 win at Tampa Bay on Saturday. In 78 games this season, he is hitting .283 with 20 doubles, five triples, 13 homers, 43 RBI and 53 runs scored.See which team to pick here.

How to make Nationals vs. Mets picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, projecting 10.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model's picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Nationals, and which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that's 44-34 on top-rated MLB picks, and find out.

Mets vs. Nationals odds, line, score prediction, start time: 2024 MLB picks, July 4 bets from proven model (2024)


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